Post by Moses on Feb 13, 2005 6:19:46 GMT -5
There is a rumor going around that interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi has formed a parliamentary coaltion with the Kurds in a bid to create a government, which requires a 2/3s majority in parliament.
If the United Iraqi Alliance gets more than about 36 percent of the seats, however, no government can be formed without this Shiite list being included. You need 66 percent. If UIA has 50 percent of seats, e.g., there is no way they could be sidelined while someone else formed a government. Allawi's list may get as few as 12 or thirteen percent, and even the Kurds can't hope for more than 23 percent or so of the vote.
www.juancole.com/
If the United Iraqi Alliance gets more than about 36 percent of the seats, however, no government can be formed without this Shiite list being included. You need 66 percent. If UIA has 50 percent of seats, e.g., there is no way they could be sidelined while someone else formed a government. Allawi's list may get as few as 12 or thirteen percent, and even the Kurds can't hope for more than 23 percent or so of the vote.
www.juancole.com/